Consumer Discretionary · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
Consumer Discretionary SPDR
ETF · US · Sector ETF
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-09-06 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of XLY's 112 settled weeks, 85 (75.9%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 14 (12.5%) finished at or above +1σ and 13 (11.6%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. Given 112 weeks, the gap from theory is within what chance alone produces.
This week's band of ±3.3% is 1.20× the symbol's median width of ±2.7% and ranks #155 widest of 184 tracked symbols. That is close to its usual width.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2026-01-09 at +2.34σ. The most recent finish outside was 2026-08-07 (+1.19σ), followed by 11 straight weeks inside.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 238/252 sessions · missing bands show price only
Anchor-date IV unverified for 14 sessions · bands and sigma hidden
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.52σ | — | — | — | |
| +0.58σ | +2.04% | — | — | |
| +0.61σ | +1.91% | +3.99% | — | |
| +0.18σ | +2.02% | +3.96% | — | |
| −0.15σ | +0.57% | +2.60% | +6.69% | |
| +1.00σ | −0.35% | +0.22% | +4.19% | |
| −0.18σ | +2.55% | +2.20% | +4.85% | |
| −0.84σ | −1.70% | −3.38% | −4.24% | |
| −0.26σ | −1.96% | −3.63% | −5.67% | |
| −0.07σ | −0.69% | −2.64% | −5.92% | |
| −0.53σ | −0.15% | −0.84% | −4.43% | |
| +1.19σ | −1.38% | −1.54% | −4.13% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging runs with the move, so levels break faster than they hold.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.