Consumer Discretionary · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
MCDONALDS
Equity · US · Restaurant
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-09-06 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of MCD's 115 settled weeks, 89 (77.4%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 12 (10.4%) finished at or above +1σ and 14 (12.2%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. The inside share is clearly above theory: realized weekly moves were smaller than the option-implied width more often than a normal model expects.
This week's band of ±3.0% is 1.21× the symbol's median width of ±2.5% and ranks #167 widest of 184 tracked symbols. That is close to its usual width.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2024-10-25 at −4.05σ. The most recent finish outside was 2026-11-06 (+1.51σ), followed by 1 straight weeks inside.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 252/252 sessions
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| −0.49σ | — | — | — | |
| +1.51σ | −1.64% | — | — | |
| +1.33σ | +7.13% | +5.37% | — | |
| +0.78σ | +3.89% | +11.29% | — | |
| +1.27σ | +2.26% | +6.24% | +11.94% | |
| +0.56σ | +3.29% | +5.62% | +17.55% | |
| −0.73σ | +1.44% | +4.78% | +11.31% | |
| −1.52σ | −1.95% | −0.54% | +5.06% | |
| −0.70σ | −4.73% | −6.59% | −2.12% | |
| −0.53σ | −1.70% | −6.35% | −6.85% | |
| −1.43σ | −1.24% | −2.91% | −9.31% | |
| −0.82σ | −3.51% | −4.71% | −10.75% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging leans against the move, so the strikes below tend to hold.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.