Mega Cap · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
TESLA
Equity · US · Mega Cap · Electric Vehicles
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-09-06 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of TSLA's 115 settled weeks, 84 (73.0%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 21 (18.3%) finished at or above +1σ and 10 (8.7%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. Given 115 weeks, the gap from theory is within what chance alone produces. Breaks skewed upward: more weeks finished above +1σ than below −1σ.
This week's band of ±6.6% is 0.97× the symbol's median width of ±6.8% and ranks #86 widest of 184 tracked symbols. That is close to its usual width.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2024-11-08 at +3.43σ. The latest week (2026-11-13) finished outside, at +1.09σ.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 252/252 sessions
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1.09σ | — | — | — | |
| −1.60σ | +8.91% | — | — | |
| +1.35σ | −10.40% | −2.42% | — | |
| +0.53σ | +7.41% | −3.76% | — | |
| −1.42σ | +4.93% | +12.71% | +9.99% | |
| +0.68σ | −7.31% | −2.74% | −6.40% | |
| −0.07σ | +3.27% | −4.28% | +7.88% | |
| +0.42σ | −0.41% | +2.85% | +0.03% | |
| −0.06σ | +2.15% | +1.73% | −2.62% | |
| +0.63σ | −0.32% | +1.83% | +4.72% | |
| +0.30σ | +3.21% | +2.88% | +4.66% | |
| −0.68σ | +1.53% | +4.79% | +6.70% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging leans against the move, so the strikes below tend to hold.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.