Mega Cap · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
NVIDIA
Equity · US · Mega Cap
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-09-06 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of NVDA's 115 settled weeks, 80 (69.6%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 21 (18.3%) finished at or above +1σ and 14 (12.2%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. Given 115 weeks, the gap from theory is within what chance alone produces. Breaks skewed upward: more weeks finished above +1σ than below −1σ.
This week's band of ±12.1% is 2.28× the symbol's median width of ±5.3% and ranks #29 widest of 184 tracked symbols. The options market is pricing a larger move than usual; check whether an earnings release or similar event falls inside the week.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2025-01-31 at −2.98σ. The latest week (2026-11-13) finished outside, at −1.50σ.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 252/252 sessions
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| −1.50σ | — | — | — | |
| −1.54σ | −12.76% | — | — | |
| −0.57σ | −8.80% | −20.44% | — | |
| −0.29σ | −3.00% | −11.53% | — | |
| −1.64σ | −1.48% | −4.43% | −23.96% | |
| −0.55σ | −6.61% | −7.99% | −18.60% | |
| +1.00σ | −2.00% | −8.47% | −12.53% | |
| +0.32σ | +3.95% | +1.87% | −6.27% | |
| +0.44σ | +1.26% | +5.25% | −3.66% | |
| −1.24σ | +1.82% | +3.11% | +5.03% | |
| +1.29σ | −5.24% | −3.51% | +1.56% | |
| +0.17σ | +5.89% | +0.34% | +3.46% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging leans against the move, so the strikes below tend to hold.
+1σ $182.54 · −1σ $143.10 — outside the published strike window ($152.00–$175.00), so not drawn on the ladder above.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.