Mega Cap · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
MICROSOFT
Equity · US · Mega Cap
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-09-06 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of MSFT's 115 settled weeks, 80 (69.6%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 20 (17.4%) finished at or above +1σ and 15 (13.0%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. Given 115 weeks, the gap from theory is within what chance alone produces.
This week's band of ±4.1% is 1.29× the symbol's median width of ±3.2% and ranks #125 widest of 184 tracked symbols. That is close to its usual width.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2026-04-17 at +3.98σ. The most recent finish outside was 2026-10-09 (+1.09σ), followed by 5 straight weeks inside.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 252/252 sessions
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| −0.27σ | — | — | — | |
| +0.40σ | −1.19% | — | — | |
| −0.07σ | +1.67% | +0.46% | — | |
| −0.24σ | −0.50% | +1.16% | — | |
| −0.36σ | −0.86% | −1.35% | −0.90% | |
| +1.09σ | −1.13% | −1.97% | −0.83% | |
| +0.07σ | +3.39% | +2.23% | +0.85% | |
| +1.40σ | +0.26% | +3.66% | +1.62% | |
| −0.12σ | +4.53% | +4.81% | +7.14% | |
| −0.27σ | −0.37% | +4.14% | +7.96% | |
| −0.83σ | −0.81% | −1.18% | +3.57% | |
| +1.78σ | −2.69% | −3.49% | +0.51% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging leans against the move, so the strikes below tend to hold.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.