Consumer Staples · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
ETF · US · Sector ETF
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-09-06 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of XLP's 112 settled weeks, 87 (77.7%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 13 (11.6%) finished at or above +1σ and 12 (10.7%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. The inside share is clearly above theory: realized weekly moves were smaller than the option-implied width more often than a normal model expects.
This week's band of ±2.5% is 1.32× the symbol's median width of ±1.9% and ranks #175 widest of 184 tracked symbols. The options market is pricing a larger move than usual; check whether an earnings release or similar event falls inside the week.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2026-02-06 at +2.81σ. The most recent finish outside was 2026-10-16 (+2.64σ), followed by 4 straight weeks inside.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 238/252 sessions · missing bands show price only
Anchor-date IV unverified for 14 sessions · bands and sigma hidden
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.75σ | — | — | — | |
| +0.27σ | +2.50% | — | — | |
| +0.50σ | +0.74% | +3.25% | — | |
| +0.32σ | +1.31% | +2.06% | — | |
| +2.64σ | +0.73% | +2.05% | +5.38% | |
| +1.78σ | +5.02% | +5.79% | +7.97% | |
| −0.92σ | +3.60% | +8.80% | +11.04% | |
| −0.54σ | −1.42% | −2.10% | −4.79% | |
| −0.30σ | −1.02% | −2.42% | −3.97% | |
| −0.05σ | −0.63% | −1.64% | −3.71% | |
| +0.54σ | −0.12% | −0.74% | −3.15% | |
| +0.04σ | +1.14% | +1.02% | −0.63% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging runs with the move, so levels break faster than they hold.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.