Energy · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
Energy Select Sector SPDR
ETF · US · Sector ETF
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-09-06 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of XLE's 112 settled weeks, 72 (64.3%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 21 (18.8%) finished at or above +1σ and 19 (17.0%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. Given 112 weeks, the gap from theory is within what chance alone produces.
This week's band of ±3.5% is 1.08× the symbol's median width of ±3.2% and ranks #148 widest of 184 tracked symbols. That is close to its usual width.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2025-04-04 at −4.48σ. The latest week (2026-11-13) finished outside, at +1.12σ.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 238/252 sessions · missing bands show price only
Anchor-date IV unverified for 14 sessions · bands and sigma hidden
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1.12σ | — | — | — | |
| −2.75σ | +5.37% | — | — | |
| +0.23σ | −12.00% | −7.27% | — | |
| +0.43σ | +1.00% | −11.12% | — | |
| +1.54σ | +1.60% | +2.61% | −4.85% | |
| +1.07σ | +4.86% | +6.53% | −5.32% | |
| +0.35σ | +3.60% | +8.63% | +11.46% | |
| +0.72σ | +1.69% | +0.39% | −1.94% | |
| −0.45σ | +2.20% | +3.92% | −1.02% | |
| +0.95σ | −1.51% | +0.66% | +1.05% | |
| +2.27σ | +2.79% | +1.24% | +5.22% | |
| −0.99σ | +7.67% | +10.68% | +11.41% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging leans against the move, so the strikes below tend to hold.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.