China ADR · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
XPENG
Equity · China · Electric Vehicles
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-09-06 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of XPEV's 115 settled weeks, 87 (75.7%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 14 (12.2%) finished at or above +1σ and 14 (12.2%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. Given 115 weeks, the gap from theory is within what chance alone produces.
This week's band of ±10.4% is 1.31× the symbol's median width of ±7.9% and ranks #53 widest of 184 tracked symbols. The options market is pricing a larger move than usual; check whether an earnings release or similar event falls inside the week.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2024-09-27 at +3.83σ. The latest week (2026-11-13) finished outside, at −1.09σ.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 252/252 sessions
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| −1.09σ | — | — | — | |
| +1.97σ | −8.50% | — | — | |
| −0.28σ | +13.27% | +3.65% | — | |
| −0.03σ | −1.85% | +11.18% | — | |
| −1.13σ | −0.22% | −2.06% | +1.52% | |
| +1.12σ | −6.77% | −6.97% | +3.43% | |
| −1.43σ | +7.03% | −0.22% | −2.27% | |
| −0.74σ | −8.60% | −2.17% | −8.99% | |
| +0.13σ | −4.71% | −12.90% | −13.09% | |
| −0.69σ | +0.76% | −3.98% | −6.07% | |
| −0.86σ | −3.74% | −3.01% | −15.53% | |
| −0.43σ | −5.03% | −8.59% | −12.23% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging leans against the move, so the strikes below tend to hold.
+1σ $10.34 · −1σ $8.398 — outside the published strike window ($8.500–$10.00), so not drawn on the ladder above.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.