Crypto · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
MICROSTRATEGY
Equity · US · Crypto · Bitcoin
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-09-06 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of MSTR's 115 settled weeks, 83 (72.2%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 16 (13.9%) finished at or above +1σ and 16 (13.9%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. Given 115 weeks, the gap from theory is within what chance alone produces.
This week's band of ±10.7% is 1.09× the symbol's median width of ±9.8% and ranks #51 widest of 184 tracked symbols. That is close to its usual width.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2026-04-17 at +3.45σ. The latest week (2026-11-13) finished outside, at −1.18σ.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 252/252 sessions
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| −1.18σ | — | — | — | |
| −0.10σ | −13.45% | — | — | |
| −1.00σ | −1.21% | −14.50% | — | |
| +0.68σ | −10.62% | −11.70% | — | |
| −1.41σ | +6.71% | −4.62% | −18.45% | |
| −0.45σ | −11.35% | −5.40% | −16.46% | |
| +0.10σ | −3.54% | −14.49% | −18.44% | |
| +0.31σ | +0.88% | −2.69% | −7.94% | |
| +1.90σ | +3.05% | +3.96% | −11.10% | |
| −0.84σ | +17.52% | +21.10% | +17.84% | |
| +1.29σ | −8.28% | +7.79% | +12.05% | |
| +0.61σ | +12.17% | +2.87% | +24.59% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging runs with the move, so levels break faster than they hold.
+1σ $123.53 · −1σ $99.65 — outside the published strike window ($101.00–$122.00), so not drawn on the ladder above.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.