Crypto · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
ETF · US · Crypto · Bitcoin
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-11-29 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of IBIT's 103 settled weeks, 79 (76.7%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 10 (9.7%) finished at or above +1σ and 14 (13.6%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. Given 103 weeks, the gap from theory is within what chance alone produces.
This week's band of ±5.3% is 0.99× the symbol's median width of ±5.4% and ranks #102 widest of 184 tracked symbols. That is close to its usual width.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2026-08-21 at +5.99σ. The latest week (2026-11-13) finished outside, at −1.74σ.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 252/252 sessions
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| −1.74σ | — | — | — | |
| −0.18σ | −9.18% | — | — | |
| −1.25σ | −1.11% | −10.18% | — | |
| −0.08σ | −5.66% | −6.70% | — | |
| −0.20σ | −0.41% | −6.05% | −15.61% | |
| −0.61σ | −0.86% | −1.27% | −7.88% | |
| +0.07σ | −2.47% | −3.31% | −9.16% | |
| +0.64σ | +0.34% | −2.14% | −3.38% | |
| +1.04σ | +3.37% | +3.72% | +0.28% | |
| −0.68σ | +5.14% | +8.68% | +6.35% | |
| +0.61σ | −3.23% | +1.75% | +5.53% | |
| +0.08σ | +3.03% | −0.30% | +8.36% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging runs with the move, so levels break faster than they hold.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.