Crypto · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
Circle Internet Group
Equity · US · Crypto · Stablecoins
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2025-06-20 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of CRCL's 74 settled weeks, 46 (62.2%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 14 (18.9%) finished at or above +1σ and 14 (18.9%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. Given 74 weeks, the gap from theory is within what chance alone produces.
This week's band of ±10.4% is 0.93× the symbol's median width of ±11.2% and ranks #53 widest of 184 tracked symbols. That is close to its usual width.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2025-06-20 at +3.91σ. The most recent finish outside was 2026-10-30 (−1.42σ), followed by 2 straight weeks inside.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 252/252 sessions
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| −0.72σ | — | — | — | |
| −0.40σ | −8.37% | — | — | |
| −1.42σ | −6.42% | −14.25% | — | |
| +0.42σ | −15.56% | −20.99% | — | |
| −0.31σ | +4.49% | −11.77% | −24.35% | |
| +0.50σ | −2.71% | +1.66% | −19.68% | |
| −0.91σ | +4.01% | +1.19% | −10.72% | |
| −0.29σ | −8.71% | −5.04% | −3.47% | |
| +0.12σ | −3.03% | −11.47% | −10.42% | |
| −1.14σ | +1.30% | −1.77% | −6.72% | |
| +1.78σ | −11.22% | −10.06% | −20.38% | |
| −0.09σ | +17.11% | +3.97% | +2.13% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging runs with the move, so levels break faster than they hold.
+1σ $68.65 · −1σ $55.75 — outside the published strike window ($56.00–$68.00), so not drawn on the ladder above.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.