Optical · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
LUMENTUM HOLDINGS
Equity · US · Optical
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-09-06 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of LITE's 115 settled weeks, 79 (68.7%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 26 (22.6%) finished at or above +1σ and 10 (8.7%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. Given 115 weeks, the gap from theory is within what chance alone produces. Breaks skewed upward: more weeks finished above +1σ than below −1σ.
This week's band of ±12.8% is 1.28× the symbol's median width of ±10.0% and ranks #24 widest of 184 tracked symbols. That is close to its usual width.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2026-10-16 at −2.96σ. The most recent finish outside was 2026-11-06 (−2.46σ), followed by 1 straight weeks inside.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 252/252 sessions
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.82σ | — | — | — | |
| −2.46σ | +10.87% | — | — | |
| +1.01σ | −35.94% | −28.97% | — | |
| −0.82σ | +11.18% | −28.77% | — | |
| −2.96σ | −8.25% | +2.01% | −27.55% | |
| +0.19σ | −25.31% | −31.47% | −51.19% | |
| +1.67σ | +1.65% | −24.07% | −22.55% | |
| +0.12σ | +15.27% | +17.17% | −19.70% | |
| +0.04σ | +1.15% | +16.60% | −11.47% | |
| +0.60σ | +0.42% | +1.58% | +19.02% | |
| −0.17σ | +5.19% | +5.63% | +23.17% | |
| +0.31σ | −1.54% | +3.58% | +5.21% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging runs with the move, so levels break faster than they hold.
+1σ $673.61 · −1σ $520.63 — outside the published strike window ($567.50–$625.00), so not drawn on the ladder above.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.