Optical · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS
Equity · US · Optical
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-09-06 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of AAOI's 115 settled weeks, 82 (71.3%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 21 (18.3%) finished at or above +1σ and 12 (10.4%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. Given 115 weeks, the gap from theory is within what chance alone produces. Breaks skewed upward: more weeks finished above +1σ than below −1σ.
This week's band of ±16.5% is 1.12× the symbol's median width of ±14.7% and ranks #8 widest of 184 tracked symbols. That is close to its usual width.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2025-06-20 at +3.93σ. The most recent finish outside was 2026-11-06 (−1.18σ), followed by 1 straight weeks inside.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 252/252 sessions
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| −0.02σ | — | — | — | |
| −1.18σ | −0.48% | — | — | |
| +0.17σ | −27.40% | −27.75% | — | |
| −0.79σ | +2.28% | −25.74% | — | |
| −2.66σ | −10.67% | −8.63% | −33.98% | |
| −0.48σ | −31.07% | −38.43% | −54.28% | |
| +1.25σ | −5.15% | −34.62% | −40.26% | |
| −0.31σ | +13.99% | +8.13% | −33.42% | |
| −0.02σ | −3.58% | +9.91% | −28.14% | |
| −0.01σ | −0.18% | −3.76% | +4.06% | |
| −0.06σ | −0.16% | −0.34% | +9.53% | |
| −1.10σ | −0.66% | −0.82% | −4.55% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging runs with the move, so levels break faster than they hold.
+1σ $58.11 · −1σ $41.67 — outside the published strike window ($45.00–$54.00), so not drawn on the ladder above.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.