Materials & Commodities · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
SPDR GOLD TRUST
ETF · Global / other regions · Gold
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-09-06 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of GLD's 115 settled weeks, 78 (67.8%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 26 (22.6%) finished at or above +1σ and 11 (9.6%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. Given 115 weeks, the gap from theory is within what chance alone produces. Breaks skewed upward: more weeks finished above +1σ than below −1σ.
This week's band of ±3.3% is 1.24× the symbol's median width of ±2.6% and ranks #157 widest of 184 tracked symbols. That is close to its usual width.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2026-01-23 at +3.31σ. The latest week (2026-11-13) finished outside, at −1.39σ.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 252/252 sessions
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| −1.39σ | — | — | — | |
| +1.35σ | −4.59% | — | — | |
| −0.96σ | +4.71% | −0.10% | — | |
| −1.62σ | −2.95% | +1.61% | — | |
| −0.25σ | −4.03% | −6.87% | −6.96% | |
| +0.46σ | −0.67% | −4.67% | −3.14% | |
| −1.29σ | +1.17% | +0.49% | −6.41% | |
| −0.75σ | −3.37% | −2.24% | −6.81% | |
| +0.18σ | −1.93% | −5.24% | −4.78% | |
| −0.63σ | +0.60% | −1.34% | −3.56% | |
| −0.17σ | −1.97% | −1.38% | −6.55% | |
| −1.00σ | −0.52% | −2.47% | −3.79% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging runs with the move, so levels break faster than they hold.
+1σ $367.05 · −1σ $343.80 — outside the published strike window ($344.00–$367.00), so not drawn on the ladder above.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.