Real Estate · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR
ETF · US · Sector ETF
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-09-06 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of XLRE's 112 settled weeks, 82 (73.2%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 14 (12.5%) finished at or above +1σ and 16 (14.3%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. Given 112 weeks, the gap from theory is within what chance alone produces.
This week's band of ±2.0% is 0.89× the symbol's median width of ±2.2% and ranks #183 widest of 184 tracked symbols. That is close to its usual width.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2026-04-17 at +2.55σ. The most recent finish outside was 2026-10-02 (−1.04σ), followed by 6 straight weeks inside.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 238/252 sessions · missing bands show price only
Anchor-date IV unverified for 14 sessions · bands and sigma hidden
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.48σ | — | — | — | |
| +0.90σ | +0.84% | — | — | |
| +0.70σ | +1.92% | +2.78% | — | |
| +0.50σ | +1.41% | +3.36% | — | |
| +0.46σ | +0.97% | +2.40% | +5.24% | |
| +1.00σ | +1.32% | +2.31% | +5.74% | |
| −1.04σ | +1.96% | +3.31% | +5.78% | |
| −0.65σ | −1.16% | −3.19% | −7.10% | |
| −0.81σ | −1.24% | −2.38% | −6.56% | |
| −0.25σ | −1.33% | −2.55% | −5.66% | |
| +0.35σ | −0.42% | −1.75% | −4.09% | |
| −0.11σ | +0.64% | +0.22% | −2.33% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging leans against the move, so the strikes below tend to hold.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.