Defensive · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
WALMART
Equity · US · Defensive
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-09-06 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of WMT's 115 settled weeks, 78 (67.8%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 22 (19.1%) finished at or above +1σ and 15 (13.0%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. Given 115 weeks, the gap from theory is within what chance alone produces.
This week's band of ±7.8% is 2.60× the symbol's median width of ±3.0% and ranks #72 widest of 184 tracked symbols. The options market is pricing a larger move than usual; check whether an earnings release or similar event falls inside the week.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2026-02-06 at +3.50σ. The most recent finish outside was 2026-10-16 (+2.37σ), followed by 4 straight weeks inside.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 252/252 sessions
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.52σ | — | — | — | |
| +0.44σ | +2.08% | — | — | |
| +0.93σ | +1.63% | +3.74% | — | |
| +0.29σ | +3.02% | +4.70% | — | |
| +2.37σ | +0.91% | +3.96% | +7.84% | |
| +2.34σ | +6.70% | +7.67% | +12.73% | |
| −1.19σ | +6.80% | +13.96% | +18.46% | |
| +0.39σ | −3.45% | +3.12% | +11.03% | |
| −0.14σ | +1.17% | −2.31% | +11.32% | |
| +0.00σ | −0.39% | +0.77% | +3.92% | |
| +1.48σ | +0.01% | −0.38% | −2.69% | |
| −0.19σ | +3.93% | +3.94% | +4.74% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging leans against the move, so the strikes below tend to hold.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.