Healthcare · band window Nov 13 – Nov 20
MODERNA
Equity · US
Inside the expected range. No statistical dislocation.
Price basis: 2026-11-13 US regular-session close · candle and GEX OI timestamps are shown separately on the chart.
This link opens the latest data for this symbol.
30-minute candles · US regular session (ET)
2024-09-06 – 2026-11-13 · measured on each week's last regular-session close
Of MRNA's 115 settled weeks, 80 (69.6%) finished inside ±1σ on the week's last close. 22 (19.1%) finished at or above +1σ and 13 (11.3%) at or below −1σ. A normal distribution puts 68.3% inside and about 15.9% beyond each side. Given 115 weeks, the gap from theory is within what chance alone produces. Breaks skewed upward: more weeks finished above +1σ than below −1σ.
This week's band of ±11.3% is 1.24× the symbol's median width of ±9.2% and ranks #40 widest of 184 tracked symbols. That is close to its usual width.
The week that finished furthest from its anchor closed 2026-08-21 at +15.81σ. The most recent finish outside was 2026-11-06 (+1.08σ), followed by 1 straight weeks inside.
Past shares do not predict next week. A week that broke the band intraday but closed back inside counts as inside. The universe-wide measurement and its method are in the weekly ±1σ coverage study.
Each date uses its own weekly band · settled bands are retained
Click or tap the chart to see prices.
Price ($)
Shading: historic ±1σ · dots: close at or beyond the band
Prices shown 2025-11-13–2026-11-13 · 252 sessions
Sigma bands: 252/252 sessions
| Close date | Sigma | +1W | +2W | +4W |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| −0.85σ | — | — | — | |
| +1.08σ | −12.18% | — | — | |
| +0.73σ | +14.64% | +0.68% | — | |
| −0.64σ | +10.80% | +27.03% | — | |
| −0.24σ | −8.22% | +1.70% | +2.39% | |
| +1.77σ | −3.11% | −11.07% | +12.97% | |
| −0.41σ | +18.41% | +14.74% | +16.69% | |
| +3.38σ | −4.46% | +13.13% | +0.61% | |
| +0.76σ | +29.11% | +23.35% | +41.53% | |
| −0.12σ | +6.99% | +38.14% | +56.28% | |
| +0.54σ | −1.09% | +5.83% | +30.55% | |
| −0.28σ | +5.48% | +4.33% | +44.13% |
Close-to-close price changes, excluding dividends and costs. — means future or unavailable. Predictive value is still under validation.
Dealer gamma stacked at each strike. The dashed lines are this week's ±1σ edges, so whether a thick strike and a band edge land on the same price is readable in one view.
Hedging runs with the move, so levels break faster than they hold.
+1σ $248.57 · −1σ $197.89 — outside the published strike window ($202.50–$245.00), so not drawn on the ladder above.
All expirations, strikes within ±10% of spot. Open interest settles once a day, so these levels move on the same cadence as the σ band.
A daily snapshot, not a live quote. Prices are taken as the upstream feed supplies them.